Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 0.002219 0.002379 0.002544 0.002729 0.002931 0.003144 0.003386
2024-12-15 0.001997 0.002221 0.002464 0.002748 0.003073 0.003432 0.003863
2024-12-22 0.001836 0.002103 0.002403 0.002767 0.003200 0.003700 0.004324
2024-12-29 0.001690 0.001983 0.002322 0.002747 0.003268 0.003892 0.004702
2025-01-05 0.001575 0.001887 0.002257 0.002733 0.003335 0.004078 0.005075
2025-01-12 0.001460 0.001780 0.002168 0.002680 0.003342 0.004183 0.005346
2025-01-19 0.001375 0.001703 0.002110 0.002657 0.003383 0.004327 0.005671
2025-01-26 0.001264 0.001587 0.001994 0.002550 0.003303 0.004304 0.005762
2025-02-02 0.001237 0.001576 0.002010 0.002617 0.003456 0.004599 0.006310
2025-02-09 0.001203 0.001554 0.002010 0.002659 0.003576 0.004852 0.006815
2025-02-16 0.001199 0.001570 0.002061 0.002772 0.003799 0.005264 0.007578
2025-02-23 0.001153 0.001526 0.002027 0.002764 0.003848 0.005423 0.007969
2025-03-02 0.001098 0.001472 0.001982 0.002745 0.003889 0.005591 0.008416
2025-03-09 0.001048 0.001421 0.001939 0.002728 0.003934 0.005768 0.008894
2025-03-16 0.001007 0.001383 0.001912 0.002731 0.004008 0.005996 0.009476
2025-03-23 0.000962 0.001335 0.001867 0.002704 0.004033 0.006146 0.009938
2025-03-30 0.000922 0.001294 0.001830 0.002687 0.004072 0.006319 0.010454
2025-04-06 0.000876 0.001240 0.001772 0.002633 0.004047 0.006383 0.010778
2025-04-13 0.000841 0.001202 0.001736 0.002611 0.004072 0.006530 0.011265
2025-04-20 0.000789 0.001134 0.001650 0.002506 0.003950 0.006417 0.011253
2025-04-27 0.000780 0.001134 0.001670 0.002571 0.004122 0.006830 0.012286
2025-05-04 0.000767 0.001126 0.001674 0.002612 0.004254 0.007180 0.013231
2025-05-11 0.000769 0.001142 0.001719 0.002723 0.004516 0.007787 0.014761